What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Sun Mar 24, 2019 11:15 pm

Hmm. If humanity can prevent 2°C temperature rise this century and the elimination of its +16,000 nuclear warheads asap, humanity will improve it's 5% chance of surviving 21th century...

See attached file for more details.
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Sun Mar 24, 2019 11:22 pm

"Why it’s time to think about human extinction?" --Dr David Suzuki',

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ktnAMTmgOX0
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Mon Mar 25, 2019 8:24 am

Series Expansion of [tex](log X)^{2}[/tex]:

For |-1 + X| > 1, we have

[tex](log X)^{2} = (log (-1 + X))^{2} -2(log (-1 + X))^{2} \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\frac{(-1)^{k}}{k(-1+X)^{k}}[/tex]
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Mon Mar 25, 2019 1:30 pm

Guest wrote:Hmm. If humanity can prevent 2°C temperature rise this century and eliminate its +16,000 nuclear warheads asap, humanity will improve its 5% chance of surviving 21th century...

See attached file for more details.


There some scientists who claim humans have a zero chance of surviving this century... Who knows?
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Wed Oct 30, 2019 1:56 pm

FYI: 'Challenges of Climate Policy · Climate Action Symposia Series',

https://climate.mit.edu/symposia/live?mc_cid=2114f45e17&mc_eid=5573d45bec.
Guest
 

Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Thu Oct 31, 2019 5:04 pm

Guest wrote:FYI: 'Challenges of Climate Policy · Climate Action Symposia Series',

https://climate.mit.edu/symposia/live?mc_cid=2114f45e17&mc_eid=5573d45bec.


FYI: 'Living Planet: Adaptation & Change --
How do we inspire the fundamental changes that are needed to safeguard our planet? On this program, we look at some novel ideas, from restoring peatlands to their natural state to climate change resistant apples.',

https://www.dw.com/en/living-planet-adaptation-change/av-51067192.
Guest
 


Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Thu Oct 31, 2019 7:01 pm

Guest wrote:Hmm. If humanity can prevent 2°C temperature rise this century and the elimination of its +16,000 nuclear warheads asap, humanity will improve it's 5% chance of surviving 21th century...


FYI: '2°C: BEYOND THE LIMIT:
Extreme climate change has arrived in America',

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2019/national/climate-environment/climate-change-america/.
Guest
 

Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Fri Nov 01, 2019 12:21 am

Guest wrote:
Guest wrote:Hmm. If humanity can prevent 2°C temperature rise this century and the elimination of its +16,000 nuclear warheads asap, humanity will improve it's 5% chance of surviving 21th century...


FYI: '2°C: BEYOND THE LIMIT:
Extreme climate change has arrived in America',

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2019/national/climate-environment/climate-change-america/.


FYI: 'Rising seas are a much bigger danger than experts thought',

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/rising-seas-are-a-much-bigger-danger-than-experts-thought/2019/10/31/e9d85976-fb3b-11e9-8190-6be4deb56e01_story.html.
Guest
 

Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Mon Nov 04, 2019 8:50 pm

FYI: 'Sea levels to continue rising after Paris agreement emission pledges expire in 2030.',

https://phys.org/news/2019-11-sea-paris-agreement-emission-pledges.html.
Guest
 

Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Tue Nov 05, 2019 12:01 am

FYI: 'IPCC report warns of a bleak future for oceans and frozen regions under climate change.
The ocean, while suffering from climate change, may also offer solutions to it',

https://www.sciencenews.org/article/ipcc-report-climate-change-bleak-future-oceans-cryosphere-solutions.
Attachments
Ice Cliff.jpg
Ice Cliff.jpg (85.5 KiB) Viewed 1250 times
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Tue Nov 05, 2019 11:52 am

FYI: 'Climate crisis: 11,000 scientists warn of "untold suffering".
Statement sets out ‘vital signs’ as indicators of magnitude of the climate emergency.'

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/nov/05/climate-crisis-11000-scientists-warn-of-untold-suffering.
Attachments
wildfire.jpg
wildfire.jpg (50.4 KiB) Viewed 1242 times
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Tue Nov 05, 2019 9:50 pm

FYI: 'Only 2 countries are meeting their climate pledges. Here’s how the 10 worst could improve."

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science/only-2-countries-are-meeting-their-climate-pledges-heres-how-the-10-worst-could-improve.
Attachments
Change.jpg
Change.jpg (56.77 KiB) Viewed 1238 times
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Thu Nov 07, 2019 12:35 am

FYI: 'The Amazon rainforest is drying out and could be vulnerable to cataclysmic wildfires, Nasa reveals.'

https://metro.co.uk/2019/11/06/amazon-rainforest-drying-vulnerable-cataclysmic-wildfires-nasa-reveals-11051252/.
Attachments
Rainforest.png
Rainforest.png (130.16 KiB) Viewed 1219 times
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Thu Nov 07, 2019 9:52 pm

FYI: 'Study Shows Climate Change Is Fueling Conflict and Mass Migration.'
“The effects of climate change go way beyond pure meteorological changes and have consequences for social and political processes worldwide.”

https://nexusmedianews.com/study-shows-climate-change-is-fueling-conflict-and-mass-migration-5f37de166ec6
Attachments
Social Effects of Climate Change.png
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Wed Nov 13, 2019 8:07 am

FYI: ‘Insect apocalypse’ poses risk to all life on Earth, conservationists warn.
Report claims 400,000 insect species face extinction amid heavy use of pesticides.'

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/nov/13/insect-apocalypse-poses-risk-to-all-life-on-earth-conservationists-warn.
Attachments
Vanishing Bees.jpg
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Wed Nov 13, 2019 8:14 am

Attachments
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Sat Nov 16, 2019 6:54 pm

Guest wrote:FYI: 'Earth's sixth mass extinction event under way, scientists warn.'

...


FYI: 'How an India-Pakistan nuclear war could start—and have global consequences.',

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00963402.2019.1680049.

Note: MAD means Mutual Assured Destruction.

Relevant Reference Link:

'MAD',

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_assured_destruction.
Attachments
India-Pakistan MAD.jpeg
India-Pakistan MAD.jpeg (124.75 KiB) Viewed 1065 times
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:47 am

Humanity's efforts to survive forever is extremely futile...

Its end is fast approaching.
Attachments
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Re: What numbers model humanity's survival this century?

Postby Guest » Thu Dec 05, 2019 8:34 am

Guest wrote:Humanity's efforts to survive forever are extremely futile...

Its end is fast approaching.
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