What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against...

Probability theory and statistics

What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against...

Postby Guest » Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:56 pm

Unfortunately, humans on Earth will probably experience a major (global) nuclear war soon (anytime before 2060).

So what is the probability of winning a nuclear war against a nuclear-armed enemy?

Can we (humans) survive the nuclear fallout or the nuclear winter or the aftermath of a major nuclear war?

Relevant Reference Links:

'Nuclear Warfare',

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_warfare;

'Nuclear Fallout',

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fallout#:~:text=Nuclear%20fallout%20is%20the%20residual,when%20a%20nuclear%20weapon%20explodes..
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Can we survive a nuclear attack and the aftermath.jpg
Let's pray to Lord GOD that nuclear war never happens on Earth...
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Re: What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against

Postby Guest » Fri Jul 10, 2020 5:40 pm

FYI: 'The End May Be Nearer: Doomsday Clock Moves Within 100 Seconds Of Midnight.'

https://www.npr.org/2020/01/23/799047659/the-end-may-be-nearer-doomsday-clock-moves-within-100-seconds-of-midnight.

The countdown has not stopped! :(
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Doomsday Clock moves closer to Midnight, complete disaster..jpg
"Wake up America, wake up the world — it is 100 seconds before doomsday!"
Doomsday Clock moves closer to Midnight, complete disaster..jpg (41.08 KiB) Viewed 520 times
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Re: What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against

Postby Guest » Wed Jul 15, 2020 7:18 pm

Guest wrote:Unfortunately, humans on Earth will probably experience a major (global) nuclear war soon (anytime before 2060).

So what is the probability of winning a nuclear war against a nuclear-armed enemy?

Can we (humans) survive the nuclear fallout or the nuclear winter or the aftermath of a major nuclear war?

...


FYI: "Pre-emptive nuclear strike:

In nuclear strategy, a first strike is a preemptive surprise attack employing overwhelming force. First strike capability is a country's ability to defeat another nuclear power by destroying its arsenal to the point where the attacking country can survive the weakened retaliation while the opposing side is left unable to continue war. The preferred methodology is to attack the opponent's strategic nuclear weapon facilities (missile silos, submarine bases, bomber airfields), command and control sites, and storage depots first. The strategy is called counterforce."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pre-emptive_nuclear_strike.
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Re: What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against

Postby Guest » Wed Aug 05, 2020 11:16 pm

Guest wrote:FYI: 'The End May Be Nearer: Doomsday Clock Moves Within 100 Seconds Of Midnight.'

https://www.npr.org/2020/01/23/799047659/the-end-may-be-nearer-doomsday-clock-moves-within-100-seconds-of-midnight.

The countdown has not stopped! :(


Relevant Reference Link:

'The Doomsday Clock Explained 2020',

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O-KjUOV62-Y.
Guest
 

Re: What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against

Postby Guest » Sat Aug 08, 2020 11:40 am

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Sustainable Peace Project.jpg
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Re: What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against

Postby Guest » Sun Aug 09, 2020 3:00 pm

Guest wrote:FYI: 'Q & A: What's math got to do with peace?'

https://phys.org/news/2020-08-qa-math-peace.html;

...


In times of peace, world powers prepare for war. And war preparations are ongoing.

FYI: "Opinion: Why nuclear weapons will always be with us.
With the dropping of the atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki 75 years ago, a new form of horror came into the world.
There is only one sure way to ever get rid of these weapons, when mankind has invented an even more deadly and efficient killing tool, says Felix Steiner
."

https://www.dw.com/en/opinion-why-nuclear-weapons-will-always-be-with-us/a-54503223.
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Machiavellianism In the Global Politics.png
"Politics (like war) have no relation to morals. And it is better to be feared than loved, if you cannot be both."
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Re: What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against

Postby Guest » Mon Sep 07, 2020 7:00 pm

Guest wrote:Unfortunately, humans on Earth will probably experience a major (global) nuclear war soon (anytime before 2060).

So what is the probability of winning a nuclear war against a nuclear-armed enemy?

Can we (humans) survive the nuclear fallout or the nuclear winter or the aftermath of a major nuclear war?

Relevant Reference Links:

'Nuclear Warfare',

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_warfare;

'Nuclear Fallout',

...


FYI: "The most important thing about having nuclear weapons is a second strike capability. In a nuclear conflict, one who strikes first may win the war, but one who strikes second makes sure there is no one left to celebrate the win. That’s (so-called) nuclear deterrence in a nutshell..."

Source Link: 'Indian Navy Soon To Be The Most Formidable Submarine Force On The Planet! Here’s What You Need To Know.'

https://defenceupdate.in/indian-navy-soon-formidable-submarine-force-planet-heres-need-know/.
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"Out of the fire, we came to be, and into the fire, we cease to be. Nukes don't prevent war; they ensure total destruction."
A Barracuda Submarine.jpg (22.52 KiB) Viewed 30 times
Guest
 

Re: What is the probability of winning a nuclear war against

Postby Guest » Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:38 pm

Humankind's greatest follies are ignorance, greed (lust for power and wealth and other vices), and hate/violence. And the great teacher/peacemaker, Jesus, tried in vain to teach us to love the Lord GOD foremost and to love our neighbors as we love ourselves. He tried to save us from ourselves. We do not listen, and we are not obedient...

Only Love (Lord GOD) can save us now.


FYI: "A beautiful, undeniably scary time-lapse map of the 2053 nuclear explosions which have taken place between 1945 and 1998, beginning with the Manhattan Project’s “Trinity” test near Los Alamos and concluding with Pakistan’s nuclear tests in May of 1998. This leaves out North Korea’s two alleged nuclear tests in this past decade (the legitimacy of both of which is not 100% clear). Each nation gets a blip and a flashing dot on the map whenever they detonate a nuclear weapon, with a running tally kept on the top and bottom bars of the screen. Hashimoto, who began the project in 2003, says that he created it with the goal of showing”the fear and folly of nuclear weapons.” It starts really slow—if you want to see real action, skip ahead to 1962 or so—but the buildup becomes overwhelming."

https://themorningnews.org/p/a-time-lapse-map-of-every-nuclear-explosion-since-1945.
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