Hello,
I am looking for a betting strategy that would be consistently profitable in a system with a 50 % probability to win. Basically the holy grail.
I assume such a betting system is impossible because even if the game goes on indefinitely, the bankroll will eventually reach zero.
Most betting strategies I know are different variations of essentially doubling your bet until you win, which will produce a major drawdown which will eventually swallow the whole bankroll.
I have tested different tricks and tweaks in Excel using RANDBETWEEN(0;1) in systems that goes on for 50 000 bets.
But big surprise,
on average all systems have an expectancy that is negative or break even. I can stretch out the life of any system by cutting down on risk and bet size, "reset" bets on losing streaks and so on. But nothing seem to produce a consistent positive result. On some runs I get great results, but on the next refresh, not so much. So I also want to reduce variation as much as possible.
The most interesting finding is that the longest losing streak have been 18.
So there are many ways to structure bets in a 50/50 system. And most, if not all of these strategies are crap. But what is the best way to do this?

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