# On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Probability theory and statistics

### On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'What Are the Odds of Dying From...',

https://www.nsc.org/work-safety/tools-resources/injury-facts/chart.

May we live long and be happy/peaceful. And please pray or meditate every day.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'The Big One: Fear of catastrophic quake grows in California as dormant fault line moves for 1st time in 500 years',

https://www.rt.com/usa/471399-big-one-quake-california/.

In the above article, Dr. Lucy Jones states the probability of a very big earthquake ('the Big One') striking California is 1/20000 (.00005) per day.

In a year that probability becomes $$1 - (1 - .00005)^{365} = 1 - .99995^{365} \approx .018$$ or 1.8% ;

In five years ... $$1 - .99995^{5 *365} \approx .087$$ or 8.7% ;

In ten years ... $$1 - .99995^{10 *365} \approx .167$$ or 16.7% ;

In twenty years ... $$1 - .99995^{20 *365} \approx .306$$ or 30.6% ;

In hundred years ... $$1 - .99995^{100*365} \approx .839$$ or 83.9% ;

In 150 years ... $$1 - .99995^{150*365} \approx .935$$ or 93.5% ;

...

Let's pray it never happens.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/06/opinion/working-class-death-rate.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage.

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/06/opinion/working-class-death-rate.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage.

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/.
Attachments
The System is rigged!
The Economy of Greed.png (400.85 KiB) Viewed 350 times
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Guest wrote:
Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

...

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/.

FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a $2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.' https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/. Attachments The American Dollar is still King! But for how long? The King Dollar.jpg (159.54 KiB) Viewed 291 times Guest ### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life A west coast earthquake is a piker compared to when the caldera under Yellowstone blows! Guest ### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life FYI: Interesting and Useful Information: 'Current World Population', https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/; 'Safest Countries In The World 2020', https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/safest-countries-in-the-world/. Guest ### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life Guest wrote: Guest wrote: Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts', ... Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high... A Related Link: 'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.' https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/. FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a$2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.'

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/.
Attachments
Why Doesn’t Flu Tank Economy Like Covid-19_ - WSJ.pdf
Why Doesn’t Flu Tank Economy Like Covid-19?
Comparisons between two diseases--based on infections and deaths--missed range of differences.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

...

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

...

FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a \$2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.'

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/.

'What the National Debt (USA) Means to You.'

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/10/national-debt.asp#a-brief-history-of-us-debt.

Generally, it can be argued that as the national debt goes up, the quality of life for the average citizen of the USA goes down...
Attachments
Generally, it can be argued that as the national debt goes up, the quality of life for the average citizen of the USA goes down..
Gross National Debt (USA) 2019.png (10.62 KiB) Viewed 172 times
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### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: "With the most recent 2015 observations, April 12, 2068, impact probability is now 6.7 in a million (1 in 150,000), and the asteroid has a cumulative 9-in-a-million (1-in-110,000) chance of impacting Earth before 2106."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99942_Apophis#:~:text=With%20the%20most%20recent%202015,of%20impacting%20Earth%20before%202106.;

'NASA warns of another FIVE asteroids headed our way, after we MISSED one that passed closer than the MOON',

https://www.rt.com/news/491829-five-more-asteroid-flybys-earth/.
Attachments
The Constant Threat of Asteroids Striking Earth.jpg (88.11 KiB) Viewed 71 times
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### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'End of the Road (Documentary)
Is the financial crisis of 2008 really over, or are we headed for an even bigger disaster? As this straight-talking documentary reveals, the public's distrust of the current economic climate is most definitely warranted. This story of a flawed economic system is a must watch for anyone wanting to understand the long term consequences of the US government's short term and irresponsible policies
.'

Attachments
When the public (USA and beyond its borders) loses confidence in the king dollar, it becomes worthless.
How Money Becomes Worthless....jpg (22.24 KiB) Viewed 38 times
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