# On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Probability theory and statistics

### On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'What Are the Odds of Dying From...',

https://www.nsc.org/work-safety/tools-resources/injury-facts/chart.

May we live long and be happy/peaceful. And please pray or meditate every day.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'The Big One: Fear of catastrophic quake grows in California as dormant fault line moves for 1st time in 500 years',

https://www.rt.com/usa/471399-big-one-quake-california/.

In the above article, Dr. Lucy Jones states the probability of a very big earthquake ('the Big One') striking California is 1/20000 (.00005) per day.

In a year that probability becomes $$1 - (1 - .00005)^{365} = 1 - .99995^{365} \approx .018$$ or 1.8% ;

In five years ... $$1 - .99995^{5 *365} \approx .087$$ or 8.7% ;

In ten years ... $$1 - .99995^{10 *365} \approx .167$$ or 16.7% ;

In twenty years ... $$1 - .99995^{20 *365} \approx .306$$ or 30.6% ;

In hundred years ... $$1 - .99995^{100*365} \approx .839$$ or 83.9% ;

In 150 years ... $$1 - .99995^{150*365} \approx .935$$ or 93.5% ;

...

Let's pray it never happens.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/06/opinion/working-class-death-rate.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage.

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/06/opinion/working-class-death-rate.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage.

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/.
Attachments
The System is rigged!
The Economy of Greed.png (400.85 KiB) Viewed 2884 times
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Guest wrote:
Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

...

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/.

FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a $2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.' https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/. Attachments The American Dollar is still King! But for how long? The King Dollar.jpg (159.54 KiB) Viewed 2825 times Guest ### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life A west coast earthquake is a piker compared to when the caldera under Yellowstone blows! Guest ### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life FYI: Interesting and Useful Information: 'Current World Population', https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/; 'Safest Countries In The World 2020', https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/safest-countries-in-the-world/. Guest ### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life Guest wrote: Guest wrote: Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts', ... Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high... A Related Link: 'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.' https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/. FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a$2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.'

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/.
Attachments
Why Doesn’t Flu Tank Economy Like Covid-19_ - WSJ.pdf
Why Doesn’t Flu Tank Economy Like Covid-19?
Comparisons between two diseases--based on infections and deaths--missed range of differences.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

...

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

...

FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a \$2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.'

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/.

'What the National Debt (USA) Means to You.'

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/10/national-debt.asp#a-brief-history-of-us-debt.

Generally, it can be argued that as the national debt goes up, the quality of life for the average citizen of the USA goes down...
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Generally, it can be argued that as the national debt goes up, the quality of life for the average citizen of the USA goes down..
Gross National Debt (USA) 2019.png (10.62 KiB) Viewed 2706 times
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### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: "With the most recent 2015 observations, April 12, 2068, impact probability is now 6.7 in a million (1 in 150,000), and the asteroid has a cumulative 9-in-a-million (1-in-110,000) chance of impacting Earth before 2106."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99942_Apophis#:~:text=With%20the%20most%20recent%202015,of%20impacting%20Earth%20before%202106.;

'NASA warns of another FIVE asteroids headed our way, after we MISSED one that passed closer than the MOON',

https://www.rt.com/news/491829-five-more-asteroid-flybys-earth/.
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The Constant Threat of Asteroids Striking Earth.jpg (88.11 KiB) Viewed 2605 times
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### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'End of the Road (Documentary)
Is the financial crisis of 2008 really over, or are we headed for an even bigger disaster? As this straight-talking documentary reveals, the public's distrust of the current economic climate is most definitely warranted. This story of a flawed economic system is a must watch for anyone wanting to understand the long term consequences of the US government's short term and irresponsible policies
.'

Attachments
When the public (USA and beyond its borders) loses confidence in the king dollar, it becomes worthless.
How Money Becomes Worthless....jpg (22.24 KiB) Viewed 2572 times
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### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: "Black men face high discrimination and depression, even as their education and incomes rise."

https://phys.org/news/2020-07-black-men-high-discrimination-depression.html;

"Systemic Racism in USA is bad for Blacks."

https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-RACE/USA/nmopajawjva/index.html#0.
Attachments
Black Folks matter less in USA...
Oppression of Racism in USA.png (6.39 KiB) Viewed 2511 times
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Sexism, racism, nationalism, and the other negative isms, wealth inequality, misformation/disinformation, miscalculations/accidents, cyberwar, slavery, mass killings/genocide, crime, famine, destruction of Earth's biosphere, climate change/pollution, ..., migrant crisis, regional/resource wars, WMDs (nuclear, chemical, biological, etc.), rising geopolitical tensions along with the nuclear powers modernizing their very deadly nuclear arsenals and planning the unthinkable (global nuclear war), makes you wonder that planet Earth is not a safe place for anyone or anything to live.

Have we, humans, gone completely MAD ( )?

Soon or later, nuclear war will happen unless Jesus/Lord GOD or ET stops it. Human beings are now a self-destructive species and are probably the most destructive/ruthless predators on Earth. And no one or anything is safe there. But there could be some exceptions...

FYI: '93.16% Likelihood Of Nuclear War',

https://medium.com/dataseries/likelihood-of-nuclear-war-we-have-no-idea-fb38d812912d.
Attachments
"Lord Jesus, please save us from ourselves. Thank you, Lord Jesus! Amen!"
Fatima Prayer.jpg (9.37 KiB) Viewed 1953 times
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Guest wrote:Sexism, racism, nationalism, and the other negative isms, wealth inequality, misinformation/disinformation, miscalculations/accidents, cyberwar, slavery, mass killings/genocide, crime, famine, destruction of Earth's biosphere, climate change/pollution, ..., migrant crisis, regional/resource wars, WMDs (nuclear, chemical, biological, etc.), rising geopolitical tensions along with the nuclear powers modernizing their very deadly nuclear arsenals and planning the unthinkable (global nuclear war), makes you wonder that planet Earth is not a safe place for anyone or anything to live.

Have we, humans, gone completely MAD ( )?

Soon or later, nuclear war will happen unless Jesus/Lord GOD or ET stops it. Human beings are now a self-destructive species and are probably the most destructive/ruthless predators on Earth. And no one/nothing is safe there. But there could be some exceptions...

FYI: '93.16% Likelihood Of Nuclear War',

https://medium.com/dataseries/likelihood-of-nuclear-war-we-have-no-idea-fb38d812912d.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Guest wrote:Sexism, racism, nationalism, and the other negative isms, wealth inequality, misinformation/disinformation, miscalculations/accidents, cyberwar, slavery, mass killings/genocide, crime, famine, destruction of Earth's biosphere, climate change/pollution, ..., migrant crisis, regional/resource wars, WMDs (nuclear, chemical, biological, etc.), rising geopolitical tensions along with the nuclear powers modernizing their very deadly nuclear arsenals and planning the unthinkable (global nuclear war), makes you wonder that planet Earth is not a safe place for anyone or anything to live.

Have we, humans, gone completely MAD ( )?

Soon or later, nuclear war will happen unless Jesus/Lord GOD or ET stops it. Human beings are now a self-destructive species and are probably the most destructive/ruthless predators on Earth. And no one/nothing is safe there. But there could be some exceptions...

FYI: '93.16% Likelihood Of Nuclear War',

https://medium.com/dataseries/likelihood-of-nuclear-war-we-have-no-idea-fb38d812912d.

FYI: 'READY TO BLOW Map reveals where WW3 could break out in 2021 (or after 2021) as experts warn about next big frontier of warfare.'

https://www.the-sun.com/news/3367846/map-world-war-three-likely-explode-next-frontier-warfare/
Attachments
Some Hot Spots.jpg (119.84 KiB) Viewed 1095 times
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### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

We hope and pray that a major (global) war on Earth does not occur. But rising tensions, fears, weapons testing, the deployment of troops, current wars, mistakes/miscalculations, famine, pandemic, etc. may make the worst outcomes occur soon.

May Lord GOD help us and prevent/stop all wars forever.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'Is World War III inevitable?'

https://debatewise.org/981-is-world-war-iii-inevitable/.
Guest

### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

FYI: 'Will the Doomsday Clock move forward or back?'

https://www.livescience.com/doomsday-clock-watch-live.

Things are dire for humanity along with the extinction (sixth) of life on Earth...
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### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

URGENT WARNING: With the possession of nukes, there is an increasing possibility of their use, especially in times of high tension/conflict or war.

"Anything that can go wrong will go wrong." -- Murphy's Law.

"With the appropriate causes and conditions, the unthinkable or inconceivable (nuclear war, disasters, etc.) will happen."

WATCH: WHAT IF WE NUKE A CITY?
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a big explosion.jpg (9.27 KiB) Viewed 946 times
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### Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

NO NUKES MEAN NO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS, NO NUCLEAR WAR, NO NUCLEAR HOLOCAUST, NO NUCLEAR WASTE/POISON, NO NUCLEAR ACCIDENTS, AND NO NUCLEAR TERRORISM...
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