On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Probability theory and statistics

On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Mon Oct 21, 2019 10:25 am

FYI: 'What Are the Odds of Dying From...',

https://www.nsc.org/work-safety/tools-resources/injury-facts/chart.

May we live long and be happy/peaceful. And please pray or meditate every day.
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Mon Oct 21, 2019 10:54 am

FYI: 'The Big One: Fear of catastrophic quake grows in California as dormant fault line moves for 1st time in 500 years',

https://www.rt.com/usa/471399-big-one-quake-california/.

In the above article, Dr. Lucy Jones states the probability of a very big earthquake ('the Big One') striking California is 1/20000 (.00005) per day.

In a year that probability becomes [tex]1 - (1 - .00005)^{365} = 1 - .99995^{365} \approx .018[/tex] or 1.8% ;

In five years ... [tex]1 - .99995^{5 *365} \approx .087[/tex] or 8.7% ;

In ten years ... [tex]1 - .99995^{10 *365} \approx .167[/tex] or 16.7% ;

In twenty years ... [tex]1 - .99995^{20 *365} \approx .306[/tex] or 30.6% ;

In hundred years ... [tex]1 - .99995^{100*365} \approx .839[/tex] or 83.9% ;

In 150 years ... [tex]1 - .99995^{150*365} \approx .935[/tex] or 93.5% ;

...

Let's pray it never happens.
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Fri Mar 06, 2020 6:17 pm

FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/06/opinion/working-class-death-rate.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage.

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Sat Mar 07, 2020 1:23 am

Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/06/opinion/working-class-death-rate.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage.

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...


A Related Link:

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/.
Attachments
The Economy of Greed.png
The System is rigged!
The Economy of Greed.png (400.85 KiB) Viewed 350 times
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Wed Mar 25, 2020 3:14 am

Guest wrote:
Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

...

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...


A Related Link:

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/.


FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a $2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.'

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/.
Attachments
The King Dollar.jpg
The American Dollar is still King! But for how long?
The King Dollar.jpg (159.54 KiB) Viewed 291 times
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Thu Apr 09, 2020 6:39 pm

A west coast earthquake is a piker compared to when the caldera under Yellowstone blows!
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Fri Apr 10, 2020 12:16 pm

FYI: Interesting and Useful Information:

'Current World Population',

https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/;

'Safest Countries In The World 2020',

https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/safest-countries-in-the-world/.
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Fri Apr 10, 2020 1:33 pm

Guest wrote:
Guest wrote:
Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

...

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...


A Related Link:

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

https://theintercept.com/2020/03/06/coronavirus-covid-19-stock-market-economy/.


FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a $2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.'

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/.
Attachments
Why Doesn’t Flu Tank Economy Like Covid-19_ - WSJ.pdf
Why Doesn’t Flu Tank Economy Like Covid-19?
Comparisons between two diseases--based on infections and deaths--missed range of differences.
(549.78 KiB) Downloaded 7 times
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Sun Apr 12, 2020 3:45 pm

Guest wrote:FYI: 'How Working-Class Life Is Killing Americans, in Charts',

...

Death due to work-related stress and other factors is too high...

A Related Link:

'CORONAVIRUS MATTERS, THE STOCK MARKET DOESN’T, AND THINKING IT DOES MAY LITERALLY KILL US.'

...

FYI: 'Covid-19 has exposed just how broken American economy & society are – a $2 trillion package alone won’t fix it.'

https://www.rt.com/op-ed/483987-coronavirus-american-economy-society-package/.


Related Link:

'What the National Debt (USA) Means to You.'

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/10/national-debt.asp#a-brief-history-of-us-debt.

Generally, it can be argued that as the national debt goes up, the quality of life for the average citizen of the USA goes down...
Attachments
Gross National Debt (USA) 2019.png
Generally, it can be argued that as the national debt goes up, the quality of life for the average citizen of the USA goes down..
Gross National Debt (USA) 2019.png (10.62 KiB) Viewed 172 times
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Mon Jun 15, 2020 8:06 am

FYI: "With the most recent 2015 observations, April 12, 2068, impact probability is now 6.7 in a million (1 in 150,000), and the asteroid has a cumulative 9-in-a-million (1-in-110,000) chance of impacting Earth before 2106."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99942_Apophis#:~:text=With%20the%20most%20recent%202015,of%20impacting%20Earth%20before%202106.;

Relevant Link:

'NASA warns of another FIVE asteroids headed our way, after we MISSED one that passed closer than the MOON',

https://www.rt.com/news/491829-five-more-asteroid-flybys-earth/.
Attachments
The Constant Threat of Asteroids Striking Earth.jpg
The Constant Threat of Asteroids Striking Earth.jpg (88.11 KiB) Viewed 71 times
Guest
 

Re: On the Relevant Probabilities of Life

Postby Guest » Mon Jul 06, 2020 10:07 pm

FYI: 'End of the Road (Documentary)
Is the financial crisis of 2008 really over, or are we headed for an even bigger disaster? As this straight-talking documentary reveals, the public's distrust of the current economic climate is most definitely warranted. This story of a flawed economic system is a must watch for anyone wanting to understand the long term consequences of the US government's short term and irresponsible policies
.'

https://tubitv.com/movies/451883/end_of_the_road?start=true.
Attachments
How Money Becomes Worthless....jpg
When the public (USA and beyond its borders) loses confidence in the king dollar, it becomes worthless.
How Money Becomes Worthless....jpg (22.24 KiB) Viewed 38 times
Guest
 


Return to Probabilities and Statistics



Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests