Zero Probability is hard to obtain in a finite sense. Right?

Probability theory and statistics

Zero Probability is hard to obtain in a finite sense. Right?

Postby Guest » Fri Sep 20, 2019 11:43 pm

Let's say we have a deck of 52 index cards each labeled with a distinct number from one to fifty-two on one side and left blank on the other side. We shuffle the deck at least eight times. What is the probability we do not select an index card that has been labeled one without replacement by the 52nd selection?

Of course, we expect the answer to be zero or have a zero probability. In practice, the answer is [tex](\frac{1}{52})^{52} \approx 5.859 * 10^{-90}[/tex] which is clearly not zero.

However, if we have an infinite deck of index cards labeled from one to infinity, then we approach a zero probability for selecting that index card labeled one by the infinite selection... Right?
Guest
 

Re: Zero Probability is hard to obtain in a finite sense. Ri

Postby Guest » Fri Sep 20, 2019 11:52 pm

Oops! We corrected our error.

Guest wrote:Let's say we have a deck of 52 index cards each labeled with a distinct number from one to fifty-two on one side and left blank on the other side. We shuffle the deck at least eight times. What is the probability we do not select an index card that has been labeled one without replacement by the 52nd selection?

Of course, we expect the answer to be zero or have a zero probability. In practice, the answer is [tex](\frac{1}{52!}) \approx 7.2107 * 10^{-81}[/tex] which is clearly not zero.

However, if we have an infinite deck of index cards labeled from one to infinity, then we approach a zero probability for selecting that index card labeled one by the infinite selection... Right?
Guest
 

Re: Zero Probability is hard to obtain in a finite sense. Ri

Postby Guest » Fri Sep 20, 2019 11:56 pm

... [tex](\frac{1}{52!}) \approx 1.2398 * 10^{-68}[/tex] ...
Guest
 

Re: Zero Probability is hard to obtain in a finite sense. Ri

Postby Guest » Sat Sep 21, 2019 10:00 am

Okay! However, in a deck of one index card which is labeled as one, the probability of not selecting it is zero! Right! :)
Guest
 

Re: Zero Probability is hard to obtain in a finite sense. Ri

Postby Guest » Sat Sep 28, 2019 6:01 pm

Guest wrote:... [tex](\frac{1}{52!}) \approx 1.2398 * 10^{-68}[/tex] ... is clearly not zero, but it is almost zero which is good enough! Right?


We will certainly select eventually (without replacement) the index card labeled one from a deck of 52 index cards each labeled uniquely with a number from 1 to 52... Right! :)
Guest
 

Re: Zero Probability is hard to obtain in a finite sense. Ri

Postby Guest » Mon Oct 07, 2019 12:46 am

Collatz Conjecture states for any positive odd integer, [tex]N_{m }[/tex], we will generate a sequence of odd integers that will converge to one.

Now, please consider the following proposition:

Probability(Collatz sequence does not converge to 1)

= Prob([tex]N_{m }[/tex] as [tex]m \rightarrow \infty[/tex])

[tex]=\prod_{j=1}^{\infty} \sum_{i=0}^{l_{j } - 1 }(1/2)^{i+1} \rightarrow 0.[/tex]

Relevant Reference Link:

'Proof of Collatz Conjecture',

https://www.math10.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=63&t=1485.
Guest
 


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