How to Calculate the Number of Ways That Two Pairs May Be Dr

Probability theory and statistics

How to Calculate the Number of Ways That Two Pairs May Be Dr

Postby Guest » Mon Dec 24, 2018 1:24 am

I am doing something wrong, when trying to calculate the number of hands that can be drawn, when dealing two pairs in a poker game, but can't see what it is, so I would appreciate being shown where my mistake is and--most importantly--WHY I am wrong, because I just can't see anything wrong with the way that I am doing it. My erroneous answer is exactly double what it should be, so I must be counting things twice.

Here is what I have (incorrectly) tried:

a. For the first pair, I choose one rank/denomination, then two suites: (13C1)(4C2)
b. Then, for the second pair, I again choose one rank/denomination from the remaining 12, then two suites: (12C1)(4C2)
c. Then, for the fifth card, I choose one rank/denomination from any of the remaining ranks/denominations, then one suite: (11C1)(4C1)
d. Finally, turning the crank, I get [(13C1)(4C2)][(12C1)(4C2)][(11C1)(4C1)] = (13)(6)(12)(6)(11)(4) = 247,104.

But the right way to do it is to choose both of the pairs' ranks/denominations simultaneously, like this:

[(13C2)(4C2)(4C2)][(11C1)(4C1)] = (78)(6)(6)(11)(4), which = 123,552.

Why do I have to choose both ranks/denominations at the same time, to start? What is wrong with my way of doing it?
Guest
 

Re: How to Calculate the Number of Ways That Two Pairs May B

Postby Guest » Mon Dec 24, 2018 7:24 am

Lets go through your procedure and generate a hand with 2 pairs:

a. For the first pair, I choose one rank/denomination, then two suites:
I'll choose rank 3, and for the suites clubs, hearts [So far my hand is {3 clubs 3 hearts}]
Because you have a 4C2 term, the order of my suites doesn't matter (choosing hearts clubs is the same as clubs hearts)

b. Then, for the second pair, I again choose one rank/denomination from the remaining 12, then two suites:
I'll choose rank 7, and for the suites clubs, spades [So far my hand is {3 clubs 3 hearts 7 clubs 7 spades}]

c. Then, for the fifth card, I choose one rank/denomination from any of the remaining ranks/denominations, then one suite:
I'll choose rank 8, and spades.

My hand is 3 clubs 3 hearts 7 clubs 7 spades 8 spades



Lets repeat with some different choices to get a different hand:

a. For the first pair, I choose one rank/denomination, then two suites:
I'll choose rank 7, and for the suites clubs, spades [So far my hand is {7 clubs 7 spades}]
My choice of rank was different this time so I should get a different hand.

b. Then, for the second pair, I again choose one rank/denomination from the remaining 12, then two suites:
I'll choose rank 3, and for the suites clubs, hearts [So far my hand is {7 clubs 7 spades 3 clubs 3 hearts}]

c. Then, for the fifth card, I choose one rank/denomination from any of the remaining ranks/denominations, then one suite:
I'll choose rank 8, and spades.

My hand is 7 clubs 7 spades 3 clubs 3 hearts 8 spades.

Oops, this is the same hand as before but with the pairs swapped. You forgot that the order of the rank of the pairs don't matter, so you are off by a factor of 2.
Guest
 


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